Tuesday, March 10, 2020


COGNITIVE BIAS. 10th March 2020

A lot of these words were written by David Wallace-Wells, but edited and slightly rephrased and added to by myself. Why have I written this amalgamation? Because Counselling is about change through self-reflection. To do that we have to be totally honest and look deep within ourselves. We need to be prepared to be uncomfortable and shocked and upset. We need to feel the emotion, but also think clearly beyond the emotion.

Often it seems that we cannot see anything except through bias and the clouded lens of self-deception which distorts and distends our perception. This might apply to being in denial, believing only what we want to believe, or through being in the entrenched and distorted thinking of specific groups of people. Human reason is curiously effective at some things and maddeningly incompetent at others. How did we ever put a man on the moon?

I have often thought that as a species we are incredibly dangerous. Many of us are only clever enough to operate within the technological world that the really clever people have created, but without the necessary wisdom and maturity. Some of us cannot even do that.  Sadly too many of the really clever people do not have the intelligence to create and innovate with the necessary wisdom and maturity either. And our politicians seem generally clever but unintelligent so mismanage most things. I use the differentiation between clever and intelligent that Eckhart Tolle uses when he says that being clever without using the accompanying intelligence is like being asleep.

So, here are some distorted ways in which many ‘think.’

Anchoring which explains how we build mental models around as few as one or two initial examples no matter how unrepresentative, thus avoiding the big picture and the whole truth.

The Ambiguity effect which suggests people are so uncomfortable contemplating uncertainty that they will accept lesser outcomes in a bargain to avoid dealing with the uncertainty.

Anthropocentric thinking by which we build our view of the universe outwards based on our own experience. Our experience is the only truth.

Automation bias which describes a preference for algorithmic decision making, and applies to our deference to market forces as a perpetual force.

Bystander effect is our tendency to wait for others to act rather than acting ourselves.

Confirmation bias by which we seek evidence for what we already believe to be true rather than face the pain of seeing reality.

Default effect is the tendency to choose the present option over alternatives keeping the status quo however bad things really are.

Endowment effect is the instinct to demand more rather than give up something we have that we value.

Illusion of Control is suffering from overconfidence and optimism bias.

Pessimism bias does not compensate for optimism bias, instead it pushes us to see challenges as predetermined defeats and to hear alarm as cries of fatalism.

The opposite of cognitive bias is not clear thinking but another cognitive bias.